AL, 07, 202308170000, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1290N, 2500W, , 3, 25, 2, , 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, SD, I, 5, 1010 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T, The disturbance has a broad circulation with the mid AL, 07, 202308170000, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1280N, 2500W, 10, 2, 25, 2, 1009, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308170000, 202308170000, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308170300, 10, DVTS, C, , 1290N, 2540W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AL, I, 5, , , , GOES16, CSC, AL, 07, 202308170600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1390N, 2590W, , 3, 25, 2, , 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AL, I, 5, 1010 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308170600, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1380N, 2610W, 10, 2, 25, 2, 1009, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308170600, 202308170600, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308170900, 10, DVTS, C, , 1390N, 2630W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AL, V, 5, , , , GOES16, CSC, AL, 07, 202308171200, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1430N, 2730W, , 3, 25, 2, , 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AH, VI, 5, 1010 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, 1.5 for DT AL, 07, 202308171200, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1420N, 2730W, 10, 2, 25, 2, 1009, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308171200, 202308171200, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308171500, 10, DVTS, C, , 1480N, 2800W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, PC, V, 5, , , , GOES16, CSC, AL, 07, 202308171800, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1470N, 2830W, , 3, 25, 2, , 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AH, VI, 5, 1010 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, PT looks like a 1.0 at the moment. Measured 2.5 ten AL, 07, 202308171800, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1470N, 2830W, 10, 2, 25, 2, 1009, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308171800, 202308171800, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308172100, 10, DVTS, C, , 1530N, 2910W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, PC, VI, 5, , , , GOES16, CSC, AL, 07, 202308172122, 30, AMSU, IP, , 1495N, 2892W, , 1, 38, 2, 1002, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CIRA, JAK, , , , , , , 1002, , NOAA15, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 2, storm center extrapolated from t=-12 and t=0 adeck AL, 07, 202308172234, 30, AMSU, IP, , 1504N, 2914W, , 1, 31, 2, 1006, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CIRA, JAK, , , , , , , 1006, , NOAA19, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 2, storm center extrapolated from t=-12 and t=0 adeck AL, 07, 202308180000, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1550N, 2990W, , 3, 25, 2, , 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, GR, I, 5, 1515 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308180000, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1530N, 2940W, 10, 2, 25, 2, 1009, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308180000, 202308180000, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308180042, 30, AMSU, IP, , 1515N, 2992W, , 1, 33, 2, 1005, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CIRA, JAK, , , , , , , 1005, , NOAA18, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 2, storm center extrapolated from t=-12 and t=0 adeck AL, 07, 202308180300, 10, DVTS, C, , 1610N, 3020W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, EC, I, 5, , , , MET10, CSC, AL, 07, 202308180600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1530N, 3120W, , 3, 25, 2, , 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, EC, I, 5, 1515 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308180600, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1550N, 3120W, 10, 2, 25, 2, 1009, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308180600, 202308180600, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308180900, 10, DVTS, C, , 1450N, 3240W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, EC, VI, 5, , , , MET10, CSC, AL, 07, 202308180951, 30, AMSU, IP, , 1545N, 3229W, , 1, 35, 2, 1003, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CIRA, JAK, , , , , , , 1003, , NOAA15, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 2, storm center extrapolated from t=-12 and t=0 adeck AL, 07, 202308181110, 30, AMSU, IP, , 1548N, 3266W, , 1, 26, 2, 1006, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CIRA, JAK, , , , , , , 1006, , NOAA19, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 2, storm center extrapolated from t=-12 and t=0 adeck AL, 07, 202308181132, 31, ASCT, CI, , 1530N, 3290W, , 1, 28, 3, , 3, , , , , , , , , , , , 3, , , , NHC, ABH, , , , , , , , , ASCT, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 3, ASCAT-B AL, 07, 202308181200, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1450N, 3300W, , 3, 30, 2, 1009, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, NR, V, 5, 2020 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308181200, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1550N, 3290W, 10, 2, 25, 2, 1009, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308181200, 202308181200, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308181500, 10, DVTS, C, , 1520N, 3310W, , 2, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, NR, V, 3, , , , MET10, CSC, AL, 07, 202308181800, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1580N, 3380W, , 2, 30, 2, 1009, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, NR, V, 3, 2020 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308181800, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1560N, 3400W, 10, 2, 25, 2, 1008, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308181800, 202308181800, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308182100, 10, DVTS, C, , 1580N, 3410W, , 2, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, JA, I, 3, , , , MET10, CSC, AL, 07, 202308190000, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1540N, 3490W, , 3, 30, 2, 1009, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, EC, I, 5, 2020 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308190000, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1550N, 3510W, 10, 2, 30, 2, 1007, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308190000, 202308190000, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308190030, 30, AMSU, IP, , 1550N, 3520W, , 1, 30, 2, 1005, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CIRA, JAK, , , , , , , 1005, , NOAA18, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 2, storm center extrapolated from t=-12 and t=0 adeck AL, 07, 202308190300, 10, DVTS, C, , 1540N, 3510W, , 2, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, ERA, I, 3, , , , MET10, CSC, AL, 07, 202308190600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1520N, 3450W, , 2, 25, 2, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, SAB, MTC, IM, 3, 1515 /////, , , GOES16, LLCC, T, DT=1.5 BO CBND MET=1.0 PT=1.5 FTBO DT AL, 07, 202308190600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1530N, 3530W, , 3, 30, 2, 1009, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, ERA, I, 5, 2020 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308190600, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1540N, 3530W, 10, 2, 30, 2, 1006, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308190600, 202308190600, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308190900, 10, DVTS, C, , 1530N, 3530W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, ERA, VI, 5, , , , MET10, CSC, AL, 07, 202308191200, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1560N, 3510W, , 3, 25, 2, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, SAB, TN, VIM, 5, 1015 /////, , , GOES16, LLCC, T, DT=1.0 BO CBND MET=1.0 PT=1.0 FTBO DT AL, 07, 202308191200, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1570N, 3550W, , 3, 30, 2, 1009, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AR, VI, 5, 2020 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, Going with DT for FT but confidence is not high - it AL, 07, 202308191200, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1590N, 3550W, 10, 2, 30, 2, 1006, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308191200, 202308191200, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308191202, 30, AMSU, IP, , 1739N, 3560W, , 2, 25, 1, 1008, 1, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , , 93, , L, CIMS, , , , , , , , 1008, , NOAA93, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , AL, 07, 202308191303, 30, AMSU, IP, , 1747N, 3571W, , 2, 25, 1, 1008, 1, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , , 93, , L, CIMS, , , , , , , , 1008, , NOAA18, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , AL, 07, 202308191500, 10, DVTS, C, , 1610N, 3580W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AR, VI, 5, , , , MET10, CSC, AL, 07, 202308191800, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1700N, 3650W, , 2, 25, 2, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, SAB, TN, VIM, 3, 1015 /////, , , GOES16, LLCC, T, DT=1.5 BO CBND MET=1.0 PT=1.0 FTBO MET AL, 07, 202308191800, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1620N, 3580W, , 3, 30, 2, 1009, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AM, VI, 5, 2020 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308191800, 70, ANAL, CI, , 1710N, 3620W, 10, 2, 30, 2, 1006, 2, MEAS, , , , , , , , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308191800, 202308191800, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308191800, 70, ANAL, RP, , 1710N, 3540W, 10, 2, , , 1005, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 116, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 2, , , L, CTC0, , , 202308191800, 202308191800, , , , CTCX tau6 34radii AL, 07, 202308192100, 10, DVTS, C, , 1670N, 3620W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AM, I, 5, , , , MET10, CSC, AL, 07, 202308192313, 31, ASCT, CI, , 1820N, 3650W, , 3, 32, 2, , 3, , , , , , , , , , , , 3, , , , NHC, BJR, , , , , , , , , ASCT, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 3, -C pass; elongated N-S (no well-defined center) AL, 07, 202308200000, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1890N, 3640W, , 2, 25, 2, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, SAB, VK, IM, 3, 1515 /////, , , GOES16, LLCC, T, DT=2.0 BO CBND MET=1.0 PT=1.5 FTBO CON AL, 07, 202308200000, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1810N, 3680W, , 3, 30, 2, 1009, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, SD, I, 5, 2020 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, Data T-number was 2.5. However AL, 07, 202308200000, 70, ANAL, CIR, , 1820N, 3650W, 10, 2, 35, 2, 1006, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 80, 0, 0, 80, , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308200000, 202308200000, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308200000, 70, ANAL, RP, , 1780N, 3670W, 10, 2, , , 1006, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 128, 0, 0, 141, , , , , 2, , , L, CTC0, , , 202308200000, 202308200000, , , , CTCX tau6 34radii AL, 07, 202308200001, 31, ASCT, CIR, , 1830N, 3650W, , 3, 34, 2, , 3, , 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 70, , , , , 3, , , , NHC, BJR, , , , , , , , , ASCT, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 70, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , , , , , 3, -B pass; elongated N-S (no well-defined center) AL, 07, 202308200019, 30, AMSU, IRP, , 1826N, 3653W, , 1, 43, 2, 999, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 59, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 2, 57, , L, CIRA, JAK, , , , , , , 999, , NOAA18, 34, NEQ, 59, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , , , , , 2, storm center extrapolated from t=-12 and t=0 adeck AL, 07, 202308200300, 10, DVTS, C, , 1860N, 3760W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, ERA, I, 5, , , , MET10, CSC, AL, 07, 202308200600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1860N, 3780W, , 3, 30, 2, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, SAB, AB, IM, 5, 2020 /////, , , GOES16, LLCC, T, DT=2.0 BO SHR MET=2.5 PT=2.0 FTBO DT AL, 07, 202308200600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1930N, 3790W, , 3, 45, 2, 1000, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, ERA, I, 5, 3030 /////, , , MET10, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308200600, 70, ANAL, RP, , 1830N, 3800W, 10, 2, , , 1003, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 147, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 2, , , L, UKM0, , , 202308200600, 202308200600, , , , UKMO tau6 34radii AL, 07, 202308200900, 10, DVTS, C, , 1970N, 3840W, , 3, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, ERA, I, 5, , , , MET10, CSC, AL, 07, 202308201039, 30, AMSU, IRP, , 1927N, 3819W, , 1, 45, 2, 997, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 120, 92, 75, 95, , , , , 2, 65, , L, CIRA, JAK, , , , , , , 997, , NOAA15, 34, NEQ, 120, 92, 75, 95, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , , , , , 2, storm center extrapolated from t=-12 and t=0 adeck AL, 07, 202308201200, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1950N, 3810W, , 2, 30, 2, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, SAB, BK, VIM, 3, 2020 /////, , , GOES16, LLCC, T, DT=2.0 BO SHR MET=2.0 PT=2.0 FTBO DT AL, 07, 202308201200, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1930N, 3850W, , 3, 45, 2, 1000, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AM, VI, 5, 3030 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308201200, 70, ANAL, CIR, , 1940N, 3840W, 10, 2, 45, 2, 1001, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 160, 0, 0, 100, , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308201200, 202308201200, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308201253, 30, AMSU, IRP, , 1949N, 3854W, , 1, 46, 2, 996, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 142, 107, 87, 112, , , , , 2, 75, , L, CIRA, JAK, , , , , , , 996, , NOAA18, 34, NEQ, 142, 107, 87, 112, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , , , , , 2, storm center extrapolated from t=-12 and t=0 adeck AL, 07, 202308201500, 10, DVTS, C, , 1970N, 3870W, , 2, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AM, VI, 3, , , , GOES16, CSC, AL, 07, 202308201740, 20, DVTO, I, , 1970N, 3913W, , 3, 45, 2, 995, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , CIMS, AUT, I, 30, 2, 27, 3, L, 25, 18, 10, SHER, 89, GOES16, , AL, 07, 202308201800, 10, DVTS, CI, , 2010N, 3900W, , 2, 30, 2, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, SAB, BK, VIM, 3, 1520 /////, , , GOES16, LLCC, T, DT=2.0 BO SHR MET=1.0 PT=1.5 FTBO PT AL, 07, 202308201800, 10, DVTS, CI, , 2020N, 3900W, , 2, 45, 2, 1000, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AM, VI, 3, 2530 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T, AL, 07, 202308201800, 70, ANAL, CIR, , 2000N, 3900W, 10, 2, 45, 2, 1001, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 160, 0, 0, 100, , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308201800, 202308201800, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308201800, 70, ANAL, RP, , 2010N, 3940W, 10, 2, , , 1001, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 121, 0, 0, 106, , , , , 2, , , L, UKM0, , , 202308201800, 202308201800, , , , UKMO tau6 34radii AL, 07, 202308202040, 20, DVTO, I, , 2017N, 3935W, , 3, 45, 2, 994, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , CIMS, AUT, I, 30, 2, 22, 3, L, 20, 21, 12, SHER, 89, GOES16, , AL, 07, 202308202100, 10, DVTS, C, , 2020N, 3950W, , 2, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AH, I, 3, , , , GOES16, CSC, AL, 07, 202308202147, 30, AMSU, IRP, , 2013N, 3954W, , 1, 35, 2, 1003, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 86, 68, 0, 73, , , , , 2, 61, , L, CIRA, JAK, , , , , , , 1003, , NOAA15, 34, NEQ, 86, 68, 0, 73, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , , , , , 2, storm center extrapolated from t=-12 and t=0 adeck AL, 07, 202308202330, 10, DVTS, CI, , 2010N, 4000W, , 2, 30, 2, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, SAB, PL, IM, 3, 1520 /////, , , GOES16, LLCC, T, DT=2.0 BO SHR MET=1.5 PT=1.5 FTBO MET AL, 07, 202308202340, 20, DVTO, I, , 2036N, 3977W, , 3, 39, 2, 997, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , CIMS, AUT, I, 27, 2, 18, 3, L, 17, 21, 14, SHER, 89, GOES16, , AL, 07, 202308210000, 10, DVTS, CI, , 2030N, 3980W, , 2, 45, 2, 1000, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AH, I, 3, 2030 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T, Center is 110 nm outside the edge of convection. De AL, 07, 202308210000, 70, ANAL, CIR, , 2030N, 3980W, 10, 2, 40, 2, 1001, 2, MEAS, 34, NEQ, 180, 0, 0, 140, , , , , 2, , , L, CAR0, , , 202308210000, 202308210000, , , , CARQ tau0 34radii AL, 07, 202308210240, 20, DVTO, I, , 2048N, 4015W, , 3, 30, 2, 997, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , CIMS, AUT, I, 20, 2, 15, 3, L, 15, 20, 14, SHER, R9, GOES16, , AL, 07, 202308210300, 10, DVTS, C, , 2040N, 4010W, , 2, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AH, I, 3, , , , GOES16, CSC, AL, 07, 202308210540, 20, DVTO, I, , 2063N, 4059W, , 3, 28, 2, 997, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , CIMS, AUT, I, 18, 2, 15, 3, L, 15, 21, 15, SHER, R9, GOES16, , AL, 07, 202308210600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 2050N, 4050W, , 2, 25, 2, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, SAB, AB, IM, 3, 1515 /////, , , GOES16, LLCC, T, DT=1.5 BO SHR MET=1.0 PT=1.5 FTBO PT AL, 07, 202308210600, 10, DVTS, CI, , 2050N, 4060W, , 2, 35, 2, 1005, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, AH, I, 3, 1525 /////, , , GOES16, CSC, T, No convection within 270 nm of the center. Small am AL, 07, 202308210840, 20, DVTO, I, , 2068N, 4104W, , 3, 25, 2, 997, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , CIMS, AUT, I, 15, 2, 15, 3, L, 15, 21, 16, SHER, , GOES16, , AL, 07, 202308210900, 10, DVTS, C, , 2080N, 4100W, , 1, , , , , DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , L, TAFB, SD, VI, 1, , , , GOES16, CSC, AL, 07, 202308211140, 20, DVTO, I, , 2083N, 4154W, , 3, 25, 2, 997, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , CIMS, AUT, I, 15, 2, 15, 3, L, 15, 20, 18, SHER, , GOES16, ,